Winning Notrump Leads

An Honors eBook

by: David Bird and Taf Anthias

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To discover which opening lead is best from a given West hand against a particular auction, the authors use computer software to generate 5000 deals that match the North-South bidding. (The West hand remains the same and the other three hands are chosen randomly.) The software then plays these deals automatically, seeing which of the 13 possible opening leads works best at both IMPs (rubber bridge/Chicago) and match-point pairs. By analysing the results, the authors pass on to the reader the secrets of finding the best lead against notrump contracts on a wide range of different auctions. Suppose the bidding goes 1NT - 3NT and you have to find an opening lead from

♠ J 8 6 9 5 K Q 7 2 ♣K J 7 2

You may be surprised to hear that the ♠6 is the best lead at both forms of the game and the 9 is the second-best lead!

Critics’ Viewpoint
‘Remarkable – this is a book worth your time.” — ACBL Bulletin  11/27/2012
Remarkable – this is a book worth your time — ACBL Bulletin  11/07/2012
‘This analysis may do for opening leads what the Law of Total Tricks did for competitive bidding.’ — The Bridge World  07/25/2012
"In my opinion, this is one of the most important books on bridge ever produced, and is required reading for all good players." — BRIDGE magazine  01/06/2012
Some will regard this as a dry fare but the results are genuinely surprising. I believe we're at the start of how computers will inform bridge (it's already happening) and there are many ramifications (on signalling for example, if we start to lead top cards more often) but we certainly haven't seen the last of this type of analysis. — East Anglian Daily Times  01/04/2012


David Bird
David Bird
David Bird (UK) is the world's most prolific bridge writer, with 141 bridge books to his name. Known for the clarity of his writing and explanations, he has won the American Bridge Teachers Association Book of the Year award a record eight times. His celebrated humorous fiction series, featuring the cantankerous Abbot, has run for over 45 years. His books have been translated into eight languages.

Taf Anthias
Taf Anthias
TAF ANTHIAS studied mathematics at Cambridge University. With DAVID BIRD, they carried out research and development on software systems for over 30 years at IBM’s UK Laboratories. In the 1970s they formed a successful bridge partnership, winning a number of national events. Taf moved on to the USA, where he became a vice president of Cisco Systems.

This product was added to our catalog on Tuesday 01 November, 2011.

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